Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
100.0% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
7.3%/yr
±4.4% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
13.2%/yr
±3.1% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin compression or rising capex
KEY VALUE DRIVERS
Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most
Las Vegas Sands Corp., together with its subsidiaries, owns, develops, and operates integrated resorts in Macao and Singapore.
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Macao gaming market growth accelerating (9.1% YoY, 14.7% visitor growth) with LVS well-positioned in mass market. Singapore generates 56% EBITDA with duopoly advantage through 2030. MBS Expansion (B t...