LVS

Las Vegas Sands Corp.

Consumer CyclicalResorts & CasinosNASDAQ

$50.57

+$1.15 (2.26%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$69.31

Upside+37.06%

Signal0

Market Cap$36.6B

52W Range$30.18–$70.45

Next EarningsApr 22

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$97.87

Current Price$52.93

Upside / Down+84.9%

P(Undervalued)100.0%

P(20%+ Up)97.0%

P(15%+ Down)0.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

100.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

7.3%/yr

±4.4% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

13.2%/yr

±3.1% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

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Quick Take

Las Vegas Sands Corp., together with its subsidiaries, owns, develops, and operates integrated resorts in Macao and Singapore.

Trailing P/E23.2x

Forward P/E14.5x

P/S2.8x

EPS (TTM)$2.35

Analyst Target$69.31

Analyst Upside37.1%

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Bull Case

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Bear Case

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Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2

Conviction: unchanged

LVS 2025 10-K: Strong Macao Recovery, MBS Expansion Execution Risk

Macao gaming market growth accelerating (9.1% YoY, 14.7% visitor growth) with LVS well-positioned in mass market. Singapore generates 56% EBITDA with duopoly advantage through 2030. MBS Expansion (B t...