MAA

Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc.

Real EstateREIT - ResidentialNASDAQ

$129.07

-$0.93 (-0.72%)today

Conviction

5/ 10

Fair Value$143.48

Upside+11.16%

Signal5.58

Market Cap$15.0B

52W Range$120.30–$169

Next EarningsApr 29

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

Mar 18, 2026, 3:09 PM6→5conviction-rescore

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Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$90.76

Current Price$121.79

Upside / Down-25.5%

P(Undervalued)9.7%

P(20%+ Up)1.6%

P(15%+ Down)72.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

9.7% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

7.3%/yr

±4.1% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

10.9%/yr

±3.2% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 4

Conviction: unchanged

MAA 10-K FY2025: Stabilized Portfolio, Steady Execution

Stabilized multifamily REIT with 301 communities (102.8k units). FY2025: steady acquisition/disposal activity, $272M development capex, 5,995 unit renovations achieving 7% rent lift. Portfolio well-po...