MAS

Masco Corporation

IndustrialsBuilding Products & EquipmentNASDAQ

$70.25

+$3.24 (4.62%)today

Conviction

4/ 10

Fair Value$80.32

Upside+14.33%

Signal5.73

Market Cap$12.0B

52W Range$56.55–$79.19

Next EarningsApr 22

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

Mar 18, 2026, 11:07 PM5→4conviction-rescore

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Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$35.77

Current Price$58.84

Upside / Down-39.2%

P(Undervalued)1.3%

P(20%+ Up)0.0%

P(15%+ Down)91.7%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

1.3% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

8.8%/yr

±5.8% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

8.9%/yr

±2.7% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 4

Conviction: unchanged

MAS FY2025 10-K: Tariff Headwinds & Demand Softness Pressure Margins

MAS facing near-term margin pressure from China tariffs and softer home improvement demand, but maintains strong brands, market position, and cash generation. Margin recovery dependent on tariff mitig...