MLM

Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.

Basic MaterialsBuilding MaterialsNASDAQ

$581.64

+$47.22 (8.12%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$700.04

Upside+20.36%

Signal0

Market Cap$38.1B

52W Range$441.95–$710.97

Next EarningsApr 29

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 85% valid

Fair Value$60.27

Current Price$560.69

Upside / Down-89.3%

P(Undervalued)0.0%

P(20%+ Up)0.0%

P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

35.2%/yr

±4.0% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

29.9%/yr

±3.4% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

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Quick Take

Martin Marietta Materials, Inc., a natural resource-based building materials company, supplies aggregates and heavy-side building materials to the construction industry in the United States and internationally.

Trailing P/E35.9x

Forward P/E24.9x

P/S5.8x

EPS (TTM)$16.36

Analyst Target$700.04

Analyst Upside20.4%

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Bull Case

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Bear Case

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Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2

Conviction: unchanged

MLM 10-K: Aggregates-Led Consolidation, Margin Pressure from Pricing Risk

MLM: Aggregates consolidator executing portfolio optimization toward pure-play aggregates focus. Strong reserve base and geographic diversification in growth markets, but cyclical exposure and pricing...