MRSH

Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.

Financial ServicesInsurance BrokersNASDAQ

$159.97

-$4.99 (-3.12%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$206.40

Upside+29.02%

Signal0

Market Cap$83.8B

52W Range$164.89–$239.34

Next EarningsApr 16

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$249.37

Current Price$176.48

Upside / Down+41.3%

P(Undervalued)92.8%

P(20%+ Up)76.2%

P(15%+ Down)1.2%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

92.8% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

1.1%/yr

±4.4% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

3.6%/yr

±3.0% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

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Quick Take

Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc., a professional services company, provides advisory services and insurance solutions to clients in the areas of risk, strategy, and people worldwide.

Trailing P/E20.5x

Forward P/E15.3x

P/S3.1x

EPS (TTM)$8.43

Analyst Target$206.40

Analyst Upside29.0%

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

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Research Feed

sec_10kMar 1

Conviction: unchanged

MRSH FY2025 10-K: McGriff Integration Year, Thrive Program Launch, Elevated Debt Load

Marsh completed its first full year post-McGriff acquisition (.75B deal, Nov 2024). Revenue reached ~B with 95,000+ colleagues across 130 countries. Risk & Insurance = 64% of revenue; Consulting = 36%...