Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
0.1% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
21.3%/yr
±5.4% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
41.3%/yr
±3.7% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin compression or rising capex
KEY VALUE DRIVERS
Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most
Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, provides various financial products and services to corporations, governments, financial institutions, and individuals in the Americas, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.
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MS delivered a breakout FY2025: revenues +14% to .6B, EPS .21, ROTCE 21.6%. Wealth Management hit record .75B (NNA of B), Institutional Securities hit record .1B. Capital position strong (CET1 15%), B...