MS

Morgan Stanley

Financial ServicesCapital MarketsNASDAQ

$208

+$7.77 (3.74%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$190.86

Upside-8.24%

Signal0

Market Cap$282.1B

52W Range$97.89–$192.68

Next EarningsApr 15

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$80.12

Current Price$161.47

Upside / Down-50.4%

P(Undervalued)0.1%

P(20%+ Up)0.0%

P(15%+ Down)97.6%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.1% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

21.3%/yr

±5.4% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

41.3%/yr

±3.7% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

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Quick Take

Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, provides various financial products and services to corporations, governments, financial institutions, and individuals in the Americas, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.

Trailing P/E16.4x

Forward P/E13.5x

P/S3.8x

EPS (TTM)$10.21

Analyst Target$190.86

Analyst Upside-8.2%

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Bull Case

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Bear Case

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Research Feed

sec_10kFeb 28

Conviction: unchanged

Morgan Stanley FY2025 10-K: Wealth Management Flywheel + IB Recovery Drive Record .6B Revenue Year

MS delivered a breakout FY2025: revenues +14% to .6B, EPS .21, ROTCE 21.6%. Wealth Management hit record .75B (NNA of B), Institutional Securities hit record .1B. Capital position strong (CET1 15%), B...