MSCI

MSCI Inc.

Financial ServicesFinancial Data & Stock ExchangesNASDAQ

$631.38

+$53.17 (8.42%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$672.94

Upside+6.58%

Signal0

Market Cap$40.5B

52W Range$495.28–$626.28

Next EarningsApr 21

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$188.32

Current Price$552.63

Upside / Down-65.9%

P(Undervalued)0.0%

P(20%+ Up)0.0%

P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

32.0%/yr

±3.9% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

26.4%/yr

±3.2% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

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Quick Take

MSCI Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides research-based data, analytics, and indexes, supported by advanced technology worldwide.

Trailing P/E35.1x

Forward P/E25.0x

P/S12.9x

EPS (TTM)$15.69

Analyst Target$672.94

Analyst Upside6.6%

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Bull Case

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Bear Case

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Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2

Conviction: unchanged

MSCI 2025 10-K: Solid recurring revenue model with scale in indexes, facing headwinds from macro uncertainty and ESG scrutiny

MSCI: Scale SaaS index/analytics provider with 57% recurring Index revenue, 22.8% Analytics, 11.3% Sustainability. Strong market position but vulnerable to client self-sufficiency, BlackRock concentra...