NTRS

Northern Trust Corporation

Financial ServicesAsset ManagementNASDAQ

$165.45

-$1.64 (-0.99%)today

Conviction

5/ 10

Fair Value$154.61

Upside-6.55%

Signal0

Market Cap$28.8B

52W Range$83.02–$157.60

Next EarningsApr 21

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

No conviction changes recorded

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Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$352.76

Current Price$135.74

Upside / Down+159.9%

P(Undervalued)100.0%

P(20%+ Up)100.0%

P(15%+ Down)0.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

100.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

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Bull Case

Northern Trust wealth management/custody; AUM fee leverage to markets; institutional custody moat.

Bear Case

Market-driven revenue volatility; custody pricing pressure; succession planning.

Updated Apr 7

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 3

Conviction: unchanged

Northern Trust 2025 10-K: Wealth Management Growth & Asset Servicing Resilience

Northern Trust 2025 10-K shows stable positioning across Asset Servicing (.4T AUC/A) and Wealth Management (.2B AUM). Strong capital ratios (CET1 12.6%), compliant with liquidity standards, and focuse...