NXPI

NXP Semiconductors N.V.

TechnologySemiconductorsNASDAQ

$321.35

+$23.58 (7.34%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$261.32

Upside-18.68%

Signal0

Market Cap$48.8B

52W Range$148.09–$256.36

Next EarningsApr 27

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$68.48

Current Price$191.37

Upside / Down-64.2%

P(Undervalued)0.0%

P(20%+ Up)0.0%

P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

18.7%/yr

±4.6% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

22.9%/yr

±3.1% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

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Quick Take

NXP Semiconductors N.V.

Trailing P/E24.3x

Forward P/E11.5x

P/S4.0x

EPS (TTM)$7.96

Analyst Target$261.32

Analyst Upside-18.7%

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

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Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2

Conviction: unchanged

NXP 2025: Revenue decline, margin compression, three strategic acquisitions

NXP's 2025 revenue declined 2.7% YoY to .3B driven by Communication Infrastructure weakness (-23.6%) and Automotive stagnation (-0.5%), partially offset by Mobile growth (+5.8%). Gross margins compres...