Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
73.7% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
11.0%/yr
±10.6% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
20.8%/yr
±3.3% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin compression or rising capex
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ONEOK: Well-positioned integrated midstream platform with strong fee-based moat, recent strategic M&A (EnLink, Medallion) driving accretion, and disciplined capital allocation. Conservative valuation ...