OPTX

Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc.
TechnologyElectronic ComponentsNASDAQ
$9.95
-$0.90 (-9.05%)today
Conviction
4/ 10
Fair Value$10
Upside+0.50%
Signal0.2
Market Cap$327.1M
52W Range$1.04–$9.80
Next Earnings

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

No conviction changes recorded

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Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$1.84
Current Price$6.64
Upside / Down-72.3%
P(Undervalued)0.0%
P(20%+ Up)0.0%
P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

33.1%/yr

±4.4% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

90.6%/yr

±5.0% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

analysisMar 12
Conviction: unchanged
Syntec Optics (OPTX): Defense-Driven Photonics Micro-Cap with Real Catalysts

Syntec Optics is a Rochester NY-based precision optics manufacturer with growing exposure to high-value defense contracts: missile guidance, night vision (ENVG-B), AR/XR battlefield systems, and LEO s...