OTIS

Otis Worldwide Corporation

IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial MachineryNASDAQ

$70.84

-$0.78 (-1.10%)today

Conviction

5/ 10

Fair Value$100.07

Upside+41.26%

Signal20.63

Market Cap$30.3B

52W Range$75.27–$101.42

Next EarningsApr 22

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

Mar 18, 2026, 3:11 PM6→5conviction-rescore

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Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$43.38

Current Price$79.54

Upside / Down-45.5%

P(Undervalued)0.5%

P(20%+ Up)0.0%

P(15%+ Down)95.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.5% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

13.5%/yr

±6.2% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

15.3%/yr

±3.1% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2

Conviction: unchanged

OTIS 2025 10-K: Service Strength Offset by China New Equipment Collapse

OTIS 2025: Service +5% organic growth offsetting New Equipment collapse (-7%, China >-20%) by leveraging expanding Service margins (25.1% vs 24.6% prior year). Operating margin still expanded to 14.8%...