PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.
TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureNASDAQ
$156.54
+$21.79 (13.92%)today
Conviction
0/ 10
Fair Value$185.25
Upside+18.34%
Signal0
Market Cap$355.1B
52W Range$75.22–$207.52
Next EarningsMay 4

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$16.24
Current Price$150.68
Upside / Down-89.2%
P(Undervalued)0.0%
P(20%+ Up)0.0%
P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

90.3%/yr

±4.8% · FCF growth to justify current price

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Quick Take

Palantir Technologies Inc.

Trailing P/E239.5x
Forward P/E79.8x
P/S79.3x
EPS (TTM)$0.62
Analyst Target$185.25
Analyst Upside18.3%

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Bull Case

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Bear Case

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Research Feed

analysisMar 20
Conviction: unchanged
PLTR Q4 2025 / FY2026 Outlook: AIP Bootcamps Driving 70% Growth — Valuation Demands Perfection

PLTR delivered 70% YoY revenue growth in Q4 2025 and guided FY2026 to $7.2B (+61%), crushing estimates. US Commercial at +137% YoY and Rule of 40 of 127% make this one of the best software businesses ...

sec_10kFeb 28
Conviction: unchanged
PLTR FY2025 10-K: .5B Revenue, AIP Driving Extraordinary Growth — Valuation Demands Perfection

PLTR delivered .5B in FY2025 revenue (~57% YoY growth if FY24 was ~.87B), with 954 customers, .2B remaining deal value, and top-20 customer spend jumping 45% YoY (.6M → .9M avg). AIP bootcamps driving...