PPL

PPL Corporation
UtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricNASDAQ
$38.23
+$1.38 (3.60%)today
Conviction
5/ 10
Fair Value$41.20
Upside+7.77%
Signal3.88
Market Cap$28.6B
52W Range$32.50–$39.09
Next EarningsApr 30

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

Mar 18, 2026, 5:04 PM65conviction-rescore

Target $30.50 is BELOW current price $38.14 — negative upside of -20%. Stable regulated utility with 3-5% rate base growth, but trading above our fair value estimate. No compelling entry at current levels.

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 70% valid
Fair Value$8.32
Current Price$36.55
Upside / Down-77.2%
P(Undervalued)0.0%
P(20%+ Up)0.0%
P(15%+ Down)99.7%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

25.1%/yr

±7.9% · revenue growth to justify current price

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Bull Case
Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~6h).

Bear Case
Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~6h).

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 3
Conviction: unchanged
PPL 2025 10-K: Regulated Utility Fundamentals

Stable regulated utility with 3 regional franchises. Rate base growth 3-5% annually. Capital-intensive with strong moat. Dividend focus, modest growth. Primary risks: regulatory execution and energy t...