PRU

Prudential Financial, Inc.
Financial ServicesInsurance - LifeNASDAQ
$94.99
+$0.70 (0.74%)today
Conviction
5/ 10
Fair Value$109.80
Upside+15.59%
Signal7.79
Market Cap$32.9B
52W Range$90.38–$119.76
Next EarningsApr 29

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

Mar 18, 2026, 5:04 PM65conviction-rescore

Target $82 is below current price $93.64 (-12% upside). DCF FV=$74 also below market. CRE exposure + rate normalization headwinds are real. PRT platform thesis intact but pricing does not support entry here.

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$429.56
Current Price$93.03
Upside / Down+361.7%
P(Undervalued)100.0%
P(20%+ Up)100.0%
P(15%+ Down)0.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

100.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

6.7%/yr

±12.4% · revenue growth to justify current price

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Bull Case
Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~6h).

Bear Case
Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~6h).

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2
Conviction: unchanged
PRU FY2025 10-K: Pension Risk Transfer & Net Investment Income Resilience

PRU executed solid FY2025 amid stable interest rate environment. Core themes: (1) Pension Risk Transfer segment continued strong momentum with B+ in assets under administration, offset liabilities wit...