Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
16.7%/yr
±3.8% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
7.2%/yr
±2.8% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization
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Mature market position with near-term demand headwind. Same-Store revenue flat despite price power; cost inflation (property tax) and acquisition capex integration pressuring returns. Defensive divide...