PTC

PTC Inc.
TechnologySoftware - ApplicationNASDAQ
$138.73
-$6.76 (-4.88%)today
Conviction
6/ 10
Fair Value$145
Upside+4.52%
Signal2.71
Market Cap$16.2B
52W Range$130.89–$219.69
Next EarningsMay 6

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

Apr 15, 2026, 2:14 PM76pre-market
Apr 14, 2026, 11:58 PM87daily-review
Apr 13, 2026, 12:13 AM78
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Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$137.00
Current Price$149.81
Upside / Down-8.6%
P(Undervalued)26.9%
P(20%+ Up)3.4%
P(15%+ Down)30.4%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

26.9% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

12.9%/yr

±3.5% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

13.1%/yr

±3.1% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

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Bull Case

PTC industrial IoT/AR software (ThingWorx/Vuforia); Rockwell Automation partnership for factory automation.

Bear Case

Industrial capex softness reducing software deployment; competition from Siemens/GE Digital.

Updated Apr 7

Research Feed

sec_10qMar 5
Conviction: unchanged
PTC Q1 FY26 10-Q: Blowout Quarter, Divestiture on Track, Buybacks Accelerating

Q1 FY26: Revenue +21% YoY to .8M. License surge +56% YoY to M drove 1,180bps GAAP op margin expansion to 32.2%. Non-GAAP op margin 45.1%. FCF M. Kepware/ThingWorx divestiture (M+) on track for close b...

sec_10qMar 5
Conviction: unchanged
PTC Q1 FY26 10-Q Deep Read: Subscription Model Firing, Divestiture Simplifies Story

Q1 FY26 (Dec 2025): ARR +13% to $2.49B (8% CC), revenue +21% to $686M driven by 56% license surge. Operating margin expanded 1,180 bps to 32.2%. FCF $267M (+13%). Divesting Kepware/ThingWorx for up to...

sec_10qMar 3
Conviction: unchanged
PTC Q1 FY'26: Strong License Growth & Margin Expansion on Subscription Scaling

PTC delivered impressive Q1 results: revenue +21% YoY to M, ARR +13% to .49B, operating margin expanded 1,180 bps to 32%, and net income +102% to M. License revenue surged 56% driven by longer, higher...