PTC

PTC Inc.
TechnologySoftware - ApplicationNASDAQ
$140.57
-$8.16 (-5.80%)today
Conviction
7/ 10
Fair Value$191
Upside+35.88%
Signal25.12
Market Cap$16.6B
52W Range$133.38–$219.69
Next EarningsApr 29

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

No conviction changes recorded

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$137.00
Current Price$149.81
Upside / Down-8.6%
P(Undervalued)26.9%
P(20%+ Up)3.4%
P(15%+ Down)30.4%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

26.9% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

12.9%/yr

±3.5% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

13.1%/yr

±3.1% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Bull Case
Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~6h).

Bear Case
Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~6h).

Research Feed

sec_10qMar 5
Conviction: unchanged
PTC Q1 FY26 10-Q: Blowout Quarter, Divestiture on Track, Buybacks Accelerating

Q1 FY26: Revenue +21% YoY to .8M. License surge +56% YoY to M drove 1,180bps GAAP op margin expansion to 32.2%. Non-GAAP op margin 45.1%. FCF M. Kepware/ThingWorx divestiture (M+) on track for close b...

sec_10qMar 5
Conviction: unchanged
PTC Q1 FY26 10-Q Deep Read: Subscription Model Firing, Divestiture Simplifies Story

Q1 FY26 (Dec 2025): ARR +13% to $2.49B (8% CC), revenue +21% to $686M driven by 56% license surge. Operating margin expanded 1,180 bps to 32.2%. FCF $267M (+13%). Divesting Kepware/ThingWorx for up to...

sec_10qMar 3
Conviction: unchanged
PTC Q1 FY'26: Strong License Growth & Margin Expansion on Subscription Scaling

PTC delivered impressive Q1 results: revenue +21% YoY to M, ARR +13% to .49B, operating margin expanded 1,180 bps to 32%, and net income +102% to M. License revenue surged 56% driven by longer, higher...