Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
64.0% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
1.8%/yr
±4.9% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
-6.1%/yr
±3.0% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization
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REGN FY2025 10-K: Bifurcated portfolio — EYLEA biosimilar-driven structural decline (-17% YoY combined sales) partially offset by Dupixent growth (+26%). Margins pressured by high Sanofi profit-share ...