RSG

Republic Services, Inc.

IndustrialsWaste ManagementNASDAQ

$200.44

-$7.37 (-3.68%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$245.46

Upside+22.46%

Signal0

Market Cap$68.4B

52W Range$201.42–$258.75

Next EarningsMay 7

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$173.51

Current Price$219.30

Upside / Down-20.9%

P(Undervalued)17.5%

P(20%+ Up)5.2%

P(15%+ Down)60.6%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

17.5% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

9.2%/yr

±5.4% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

9.4%/yr

±3.6% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

Premium Content

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Quick Take

Republic Services, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, offers environmental services in the United States and Canada.

Trailing P/E32.3x

Forward P/E27.6x

P/S4.1x

EPS (TTM)$6.85

Analyst Target$245.46

Analyst Upside22.5%

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2

Conviction: unchanged

RSG FY2025 10-K: Defensive compounder with circular economy positioning

RSG is a tier-1 waste management company with strong secular tailwinds, high barriers to entry, and credible circular economy positioning via Polymer Centers. Defensive growth profile supported by 22 ...