RTX

RTX Corporation
IndustrialsAerospace & DefenseNASDAQ
$179.66
+$3.76 (2.09%)today
Conviction
0/ 10
Fair Value$216.34
Upside+20.41%
Signal0
Market Cap$271.3B
52W Range$112.63–$214.50
Next EarningsApr 21

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$223.72
Current Price$198.16
Upside / Down+12.9%
P(Undervalued)66.1%
P(20%+ Up)42.1%
P(15%+ Down)18.4%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

66.1% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

5.2%/yr

±6.4% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

10.9%/yr

±3.6% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

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Quick Take

RTX Corporation, an aerospace and defense company, provides systems and services for commercial, military, and government customers worldwide.

Trailing P/E39.8x
Forward P/E26.2x
P/S3.0x
EPS (TTM)$4.96
Analyst Target$216.34
Analyst Upside20.4%

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Bull Case

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Bear Case

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Research Feed

analysisMar 27
Conviction: unchanged
RTX: $268B Backlog + Golden Dome Positioning Makes This the Compounding Defense Play of the Decade

RTX has one of the most defensible businesses in the market: $268B backlog, sole-source defense programs (Patriot, AMRAAM, F135 engine), and parallel commercial aerospace tailwinds. Q4 2025 revenue +1...

sec_10kFeb 28
Conviction: unchanged
RTX Corporation FY2025 10-K: FCF Inflection + Backlog Surge vs. Compliance Overhang

RTX delivered a strong FY2025: .6B revenue (+10%), adj. EPS .29 (+10%), FCF .9B (+75%). Backlog surged to B from B (+23% YoY). P&W GTF headwind peaking; international defense the growth engine. Legal/...