Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
1.3% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
19.9%/yr
±5.4% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
3.4%/yr
±2.8% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization
KEY VALUE DRIVERS
Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most
The Charles Schwab Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a savings and loan holding company that provides wealth management, securities brokerage, banking, asset management, custody, and financial advisory services in the United States and internationally.
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Charles Schwab delivered record FY2025 results: revenue of $23.9B (+22% YoY), Q4 net income $2.5B ($1.33 EPS). The defining thesis is the full reversal of the 2022-2023 cash sorting headwind. With $11...