Price $363.71 above DCF FV $319 and target $330. P(above current)=20.4% — model says 80% chance we are above fair value. Quality tools company but expensive here. No upside at current price.
Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
25.2% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
4.7%/yr
±4.4% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
1.0%/yr
±2.9% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization
KEY VALUE DRIVERS
Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most
Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~6h).
Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~6h).
Snap-on posted modest growth in FY2025 (+0.8%) with tariff headwinds compressing margins. Franchise model remains resilient with strong brand, but growth deceleration and competitive pressures evident...