Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
35.4%/yr
±3.4% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
45.5%/yr
±3.8% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin compression or rising capex
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SNPS: Ansys integration proving dilutive; Design IP down 6%; gross margin collapsed from 81% to 74%; operating income DOWN despite 66% revenue growth; M restructuring in Q1 with -350M expected FY2026;...