STT

State Street Corporation

Financial ServicesAsset ManagementNASDAQ

$155.64

+$1.97 (1.27%)today

Conviction

4/ 10

Fair Value$143.83

Upside-7.59%

Signal0

Market Cap$38.9B

52W Range$73.26–$137.05

Next EarningsApr 17

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

Mar 18, 2026, 5:04 PM6→4conviction-rescore

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Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$457.33

Current Price$121.97

Upside / Down+275.0%

P(Undervalued)100.0%

P(20%+ Up)100.0%

P(15%+ Down)0.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

100.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

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Bull Case

State Street custody/servicing AUM fees; ETF servicing growth; market-linked revenue.

Bear Case

Custody pricing pressure; fintech disruption; AUM fee compression.

Updated Apr 7

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2

Conviction: unchanged

STT FY2025 10-K Analysis: Stable Custody Giant with Valuation Appeal

State Street 10-K shows mature custodian with .8T AUC/A but facing structural NII headwinds and pricing pressure. Capital ratios solid, but growth limited. Fair value -42 range with hold recommendatio...