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87.9% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
-4.8%/yr
±3.4% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
-9.3%/yr
±2.2% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization
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SWKS Q1 FY2026: -3.1% revenue (customer loss offset by Wi-Fi gains), 41.3% gross margin (mix-pressure), operating margin collapsed 17%→10% due to +15% R&D investment in next-gen tech. Strong OCF .5M. ...