T

AT&T Inc.

Communication ServicesTelecom ServicesNASDAQ

$28.95

+$1.62 (5.60%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$30.46

Upside+5.20%

Signal0

Market Cap$201.5B

52W Range$22.95–$29.79

Next EarningsApr 22

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$64.13

Current Price$28.31

Upside / Down+126.5%

P(Undervalued)100.0%

P(20%+ Up)98.3%

P(15%+ Down)0.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

100.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

-7.2%/yr

±3.0% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

-4.2%/yr

±3.0% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Quick Take

AT&T Inc.

Trailing P/E9.5x

Forward P/E11.3x

P/S1.6x

EPS (TTM)$3.04

Analyst Target$30.46

Analyst Upside5.2%

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10kFeb 28

Conviction: unchanged

AT&T FY2025 10-K: Fiber Momentum Intact, Debt Load Still the Story

AT&T posted solid FY2025 results driven by fiber subscriber momentum (+1.1M net adds to 10.4M), FWA acceleration (+875K to 1.5M), and portfolio simplification via DIRECTV sale. Revenue grew 2.7% to $1...