TDY

Teledyne Technologies Incorporated

TechnologyScientific & Technical InstrumentsNASDAQ

$619.83

+$12.98 (2.09%)today

Conviction

6/ 10

Fair Value$701.85

Upside+13.23%

Signal7.94

Market Cap$29.9B

52W Range$428.89–$693.38

Next EarningsApr 22

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

No conviction changes recorded

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Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 3,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$409.70

Current Price$645.66

Upside / Down-36.5%

P(Undervalued)0.5%

P(20%+ Up)0.0%

P(15%+ Down)92.5%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.5% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

14.9%/yr

±4.9% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

17.9%/yr

±3.2% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

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Bull Case

Teledyne defense/industrial tech; FLIR integration complete; government electronic warfare.

Bear Case

Defense budget uncertainty; acquisition integration costs; cyclical industrial segment.

Updated Apr 7

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 3

Conviction: unchanged

TDY FY2025 10-K: Aerospace surge masks weakness in core segments

TDY FY2025: +7.9% revenue growth, +140bp margin expansion. A&DE surged 36% via acquisitions but margins compressed. Core segments (DI, Instr) stable but organic growth slowing. Engineered Systems decl...