TMO

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.
HealthcareDiagnostics & ResearchNASDAQ
$489.47
+$26.10 (5.33%)today
Conviction
0/ 10
Fair Value$663.96
Upside+35.65%
Signal0
Market Cap$178.3B
52W Range$385.46–$643.99
Next EarningsApr 22

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 3,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$259.02
Current Price$470.00
Upside / Down-44.9%
P(Undervalued)0.0%
P(20%+ Up)0.0%
P(15%+ Down)97.1%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

13.7%/yr

±5.2% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

20.0%/yr

±3.2% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Quick Take

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.

Trailing P/E27.0x
Forward P/E17.9x
P/S4.0x
EPS (TTM)$17.75
Analyst Target$663.96
Analyst Upside35.6%

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Bull Case

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Bear Case

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Research Feed

sec_10kFeb 28
Conviction: unchanged
TMO FY2025 10-K: Bioproduction Thesis Intact, Tariff Headwinds in Analytical Instruments, Debt Load Rising

TMO delivered .6B in FY2025 revenue (+4%, +2% organic), adjusted EPS .87 (+5%), adjusted operating margin 22.7%. Life Sciences Solutions led growth driven by bioproduction recovery and Solventum filtr...