Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
91.0% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
-2.4%/yr
±4.9% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
-1.6%/yr
±3.2% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin compression or rising capex
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TMUS delivered industry-best results in FY2025: service revenue +8% to $71.3B, Core Adjusted EBITDA +7% to $33.9B, FCF $18.0B. Postpaid phone net adds of 3.3M and total net adds of 7.8M were industry-...