No conviction changes recorded
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Sign in to unlockFair Value Distribution — percentile bands
0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
31.7%/yr
±4.7% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
29.4%/yr
±3.3% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization
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Coach accelerating with 25%+ growth and 39.5% margins, but Kate Spade collapse (op margin 4.5% in Q2) masks underlying weakness. Tariffs are 190 bps headwind in Q2. Debt manageable post-Capri terminat...