TRV

The Travelers Companies, Inc.
Financial ServicesInsurance - Property & CasualtyNASDAQ
$291.31
-$7.73 (-2.65%)today
Conviction
0/ 10
Fair Value$303.45
Upside+4.17%
Signal0
Market Cap$65.1B
52W Range$230.43–$313.12
Next EarningsApr 16

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 3,000 runs · 94% valid
Fair Value$207.86
Current Price$304.64
Upside / Down-31.8%
P(Undervalued)29.1%
P(20%+ Up)19.3%
P(15%+ Down)62.4%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

29.1% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

12.5%/yr

±11.8% · revenue growth to justify current price

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Quick Take

The Travelers Companies, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides a range of commercial and personal property, and casualty insurance products and services to businesses, government units, associations, and individuals in the United States, Canada, and internationally.

Trailing P/E10.6x
Forward P/E10.3x
P/S1.3x
EPS (TTM)$27.44
Analyst Target$303.45
Analyst Upside4.2%

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Bull Case

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Bear Case

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Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2
Conviction: unchanged
TRV 2025 10-K: Disciplined Underwriting, Canadian Divestiture, Strong Domestic Base

TRV 2025 10-K review: Disciplined P&C franchise with strong domestic base, modest 2-3% organic growth, and strategic Canadian exit. Profitability hinges on rate increases staying ahead of inflation an...