TTWO

Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.

Communication ServicesElectronic Gaming & MultimediaNASDAQ

$192.92

-$10.67 (-5.53%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$276.81

Upside+43.48%

Signal0

Market Cap$35.8B

52W Range$187.63–$264.79

Next EarningsMay 14

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 3,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$81.23

Current Price$207.69

Upside / Down-60.9%

P(Undervalued)0.0%

P(20%+ Up)0.0%

P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

31.7%/yr

±5.0% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

10.4%/yr

±2.9% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Quick Take

Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.

Forward P/E24.8x

P/S5.5x

EPS (TTM)-$22.57

Analyst Target$276.81

Analyst Upside43.5%

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Bull Case

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Bear Case

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Research Feed

sec_10qMar 2

Conviction: unchanged

TTWO Q3 FY2026: Revenue Growth Accelerates, Profitability Recovery Underway, GTA VI Launch Risk/Reward Asymmetry

TTWO revenue +23% YoY to .98B (9M), net loss cut 68% to -.7M. Gross margin +200bps to 57.7%, driven by software amortization timing and Borderlands 4 success. GTA VI launching Nov 2026, major catalyst...