UBER

Uber Technologies, Inc.

TechnologySoftware - ApplicationNASDAQ

$73.32

-$3.20 (-4.36%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$103.58

Upside+41.27%

Signal0

Market Cap$143.9B

52W Range$60.63–$101.99

Next EarningsMay 6

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 3,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$80.00

Current Price$74.66

Upside / Down+7.2%

P(Undervalued)61.0%

P(20%+ Up)29.6%

P(15%+ Down)15.3%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

61.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

11.7%/yr

±5.3% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

7.5%/yr

±2.7% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Quick Take

Uber Technologies, Inc.

Trailing P/E14.8x

Forward P/E16.3x

P/S2.8x

EPS (TTM)$4.73

Analyst Target$103.58

Analyst Upside41.3%

No Eagle analysis yet. Request a full review including conviction score, bull/bear cases, and thesis.

Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10kFeb 28

Conviction: unchanged

UBER FY2025 10-K: Record EBITDA, 3rd Year of 20%+ Growth — AV Disruption Remains Key Overhang

Uber delivered a third consecutive year of 20%+ gross bookings growth in FY2025: GBs .5B (+19% YoY), revenue .0B (+18%), Adj. EBITDA .7B (+35%). FCF inflecting strongly. The platform network effect an...