UDR

UDR, Inc.

Real EstateREIT - ResidentialNASDAQ

$36.90

-$0.60 (-1.63%)today

Conviction

5/ 10

Fair Value$40.81

Upside+10.59%

Signal5.29

Market Cap$13.2B

52W Range$32.94–$43.92

Next EarningsApr 29

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

Mar 18, 2026, 5:05 PM6→5conviction-rescore

Mar 4, 2026, 3:38 AM5→6sec-read

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Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 3,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$14.09

Current Price$35.63

Upside / Down-60.5%

P(Undervalued)0.0%

P(20%+ Up)0.0%

P(15%+ Down)98.8%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

15.6%/yr

±4.9% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

10.2%/yr

±3.3% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 4

Conviction: unchanged

UDR 2025 10-K: Solid Operator But Facing Regulatory & Growth Headwinds

UDR is a quality, well-operated, diversified multifamily REIT with scale (165 properties, 55K homes) and strong operational metrics (19.4% turnover vs 34% industry). However, revenue growth is deceler...