URI

United Rentals, Inc.

IndustrialsRental & Leasing ServicesNASDAQ

$751.26

+$26.89 (3.58%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$985.89

Upside+31.23%

Signal0

Market Cap$45.0B

52W Range$525.91–$1,021.47

Next EarningsApr 22

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 3,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$244.92

Current Price$743.13

Upside / Down-67.0%

P(Undervalued)0.0%

P(20%+ Up)0.0%

P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

26.3%/yr

±5.1% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

67.9%/yr

±4.3% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Quick Take

United Rentals, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an equipment rental company in the United States, Canada, Europe, Australia, and New Zealand.

Trailing P/E18.5x

Forward P/E13.5x

P/S2.8x

EPS (TTM)$38.62

Analyst Target$985.89

Analyst Upside31.2%

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2

Conviction: unchanged

URI 2025 10-K: Market Leader Faces Margin Normalization

Market-leading rental company (15% share, .1B revenues) facing margin normalization after strong 2024. Net margin compressed 130 bps to 15.5%, primarily specialty segment pressure and used equipment m...