Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
33.6%/yr
±4.7% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
-1.4%/yr
±2.5% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization
KEY VALUE DRIVERS
Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most
U.S.
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USB is a well-positioned B regional bank with .2B deposits, diversified income streams, solid capital position (SCB 2.6%), and growth opportunity via BTIG acquisition. Category III regulatory status m...