VMC

Vulcan Materials Company
Basic MaterialsBuilding MaterialsNASDAQ
$282.92
+$22.50 (7.95%)today
Conviction
0/ 10
Fair Value$325.59
Upside+15.08%
Signal0
Market Cap$38.6B
52W Range$218.87–$331.09
Next EarningsApr 29

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 3,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$97.99
Current Price$265.95
Upside / Down-63.2%
P(Undervalued)0.0%
P(20%+ Up)0.0%
P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

25.2%/yr

±6.7% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

23.8%/yr

±3.3% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

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Quick Take

Vulcan Materials Company produces and supplies construction aggregates in the United States.

Trailing P/E34.0x
Forward P/E25.5x
P/S4.5x
EPS (TTM)$8.14
Analyst Target$325.59
Analyst Upside15.1%

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Bull Case

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Bear Case

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Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2
Conviction: unchanged
VMC 2025 10-K: Strong Infrastructure Tailwinds, Pricing Power, Execution Excellence

Aggregates leader capitalizing on infrastructure tailwinds with pricing power, margin expansion from 3-yr cash profit/ton +20%, and disciplined execution. Fair value $240-250/share (13x forward EBITDA...