VTR

Ventas, Inc.

Real EstateREIT - Healthcare FacilitiesNASDAQ

$84.42

-$3.43 (-4.07%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$92.95

Upside+10.10%

Signal0

Market Cap$40.4B

52W Range$60.15–$88.37

Next EarningsApr 27

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 3,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$62.09

Current Price$87.79

Upside / Down-29.3%

P(Undervalued)9.8%

P(20%+ Up)1.6%

P(15%+ Down)75.7%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

9.8% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

18.7%/yr

±5.1% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

28.1%/yr

±3.8% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

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Quick Take

Ventas, Inc.

Trailing P/E154.8x

Forward P/E87.4x

P/S6.8x

EPS (TTM)$0.54

Analyst Target$92.95

Analyst Upside10.1%

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2

Conviction: unchanged

VTR 2025 10-K: Senior Housing Leadership Amid Structural Shifts

VTR FY2025 10-K: .4B NOI portfolio anchored in senior housing (49%). Brookdale NNN exit underway. Atria concentration at 17.7% of SHOP. Medicaid/labor cost pressures emerging; wage inflation (CA SB-52...