WAB

Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation

IndustrialsRailroadsNASDAQ

$261.16

+$6.14 (2.35%)today

Conviction

5/ 10

Fair Value$290.83

Upside+11.36%

Signal5.68

Market Cap$45.6B

52W Range$157.19–$266.27

Next EarningsApr 22

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

No conviction changes recorded

Premium Content

Upgrade to premium to see the full reasoning behind each conviction change.

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 3,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$125.28

Current Price$239.20

Upside / Down-47.6%

P(Undervalued)0.0%

P(20%+ Up)0.0%

P(15%+ Down)98.5%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

21.8%/yr

±6.0% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

18.5%/yr

±3.2% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

Premium Content

Upgrade to premium for full distribution data, sensitivity analysis, and segment breakdowns.

Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2

Conviction: unchanged

FY2025 10-K: Strong execution, record backlog, major acquisitions

WAB delivered solid 7.5% organic-plus-acquisitions growth in FY2025 with margin expansion. Record .4B backlog (22% of sales) supported by Kazakhstan mega-order (.2B) and strong NA locomotive demand. T...