WBD

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.

Communication ServicesEntertainmentNASDAQ

$27.20

-$0.15 (-0.57%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$29.60

Upside+8.81%

Signal0

Market Cap$67.9B

52W Range$7.52–$30

Next EarningsMay 7

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 3,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$18.74

Current Price$27.51

Upside / Down-31.9%

P(Undervalued)6.0%

P(20%+ Up)0.5%

P(15%+ Down)80.5%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

6.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

9.3%/yr

±4.8% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

33.0%/yr

±3.3% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Quick Take

Warner Bros.

Trailing P/E93.4x

Forward P/E-1625.1x

P/S1.8x

EPS (TTM)$0.29

Analyst Target$29.60

Analyst Upside8.8%

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2

Conviction: unchanged

WBD FY2025: Linear Decline Masks Streaming Profitability Inflection

WBD at inflection: Streaming profitability achieved but GLN structural decline accelerating. High leverage (3.2x), merger-induced operating constraints, and significant regulatory risk create valuatio...