WBD

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.
Communication ServicesEntertainmentNASDAQ
$27.01
-$0.09 (-0.33%)today
Conviction
0/ 10
Fair Value$29.60
Upside+9.57%
Signal0
Market Cap$68.8B
52W Range$7.52–$30
Next EarningsMay 7

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 3,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$18.74
Current Price$27.51
Upside / Down-31.9%
P(Undervalued)6.0%
P(20%+ Up)0.5%
P(15%+ Down)80.5%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

6.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

9.3%/yr

±4.8% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

33.0%/yr

±3.3% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

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Quick Take

Warner Bros.

Trailing P/E94.4x
Forward P/E-1641.9x
P/S1.8x
EPS (TTM)$0.29
Analyst Target$29.60
Analyst Upside9.6%

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

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Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2
Conviction: unchanged
WBD FY2025: Linear Decline Masks Streaming Profitability Inflection

WBD at inflection: Streaming profitability achieved but GLN structural decline accelerating. High leverage (3.2x), merger-induced operating constraints, and significant regulatory risk create valuatio...