Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
28.4% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
16.0%/yr
±5.9% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
-2.7%/yr
±2.4% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization
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WDAY Q3 shows solid subscription reacceleration (15% YoY), margin expansion (operating margin +310bps to 10.7%), and strong financial position (.8B liquidity, .56B FCF). Strategic acquisitions (Parado...