Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
36.8%/yr
±3.0% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
31.1%/yr
±3.8% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization
KEY VALUE DRIVERS
Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most
Welltower Inc.
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Welltower delivered an exceptional FY2025: normalized FFO/share of $5.29 (+22.5% YoY), total portfolio SSNOI growth of 15.0% (Q4) with SHO SSNOI of 20.4% Q4 and 21.5% FY. Revenue up ~36% including maj...