WYNN

Wynn Resorts, Limited

Consumer CyclicalResorts & CasinosNASDAQ

$102.29

+$0.67 (0.66%)today

Conviction

5/ 10

Fair Value$115

Upside+12.43%

Signal6.21

Market Cap$10.1B

52W Range$65.25–$134.72

Next EarningsMay 6

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

No conviction changes recorded

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 3,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$94.41

Current Price$100.63

Upside / Down-6.2%

P(Undervalued)44.2%

P(20%+ Up)25.6%

P(15%+ Down)42.7%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

44.2% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

13.8%/yr

±6.3% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

19.1%/yr

±3.1% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Bull Case

Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~6h).

Bear Case

Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~6h).

Research Feed

sec_10qMar 4

Conviction: unchanged

Wynn Resorts Q3 2025 Analysis: Macau Weakness, Las Vegas Stable

Q3 2025 saw strong recovery with M net income (vs. M loss Q3 2024), but YTD shows Macau structural challenges: revenues down 0.2%, Wynn Macau EBITDAR down 11.7%. Wynn Palace momentum (VIP win % 4.68%)...